Vol. 205 (May I 2012)

Discussion and Debate: From Black Swans to Dragon-Kings - Is There Life Beyond Power Laws?

Review Dragon-kings: Mechanisms, statistical methods and empirical evidence    p. 1 D. Sornette and G. Ouillon Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01559-5 Abstract PDF (320.9 KB)

Mechanisms of Dragon-Kings Modeling of super-extreme events: An application to the hierarchical Weierstrass-Mandelbrot Continuous-time Random Walk    p. 27 T.R. Werner, T. Gubiec, R. Kutner and D. Sornette Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01560-0 Abstract PDF (1.305 MB)

Statistical outliers and dragon-kings as Bose-condensed droplets    p. 53 V.I. Yukalov and D. Sornette Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01561-y Abstract PDF (247.3 KB)

Mechanistic origin of dragon-kings in a population of competing agents    p. 65 N. Johnson and B. Tivnan Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01562-x Abstract PDF (653.9 KB)

Statistical Tests Black swans or dragon-kings? A simple test for deviations from the power law    p. 79 J. Janczura and R. Weron Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01563-9 Abstract PDF (638.0 KB)

Robust statistical tests of Dragon-Kings beyond power law distributions    p. 95 V.F. Pisarenko and D. Sornette Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01564-8 Abstract PDF (1.780 MB)

Review Are there “dragon-kings” events (i.e. genuine outliers) among extreme avalanches?    p. 117 C. Ancey Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01565-7 Abstract PDF (731.1 KB)

A case study of a “Dragon-King”: The 1999 Venezuelan catastrophe    p. 131 M. Süveges and A.C. Davison Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01566-6 Abstract PDF (598.2 KB)

Rainfall and Dragon-Kings    p. 147 O. Peters, K. Christensen and J.D. Neelin Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01567-5 Abstract PDF (747.1 KB)

Comparison of Pareto and tapered Pareto distributions for environmental phenomena    p. 159 F.P. Schoenberg and R.D. Patel Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01568-4 Abstract PDF (165.6 KB)

Review Black swans, power laws, and dragon-kings: Earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslides, wildfires, floods, and SOC models    p. 167 M.K. Sachs, M.R. Yoder, D.L. Turcotte, J.B. Rundle and B.D. Malamud Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01569-3 Abstract PDF (992.6 KB)

Review Extreme events and predictability of catastrophic failure in composite materials and in the Earth    p. 183 I. Main and M. Naylor Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01570-x Abstract PDF (479.8 KB)

Variability in the power-law distributions of rupture events How and why does b-value change    p. 199 D. Amitrano Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01571-9 Abstract PDF (598.4 KB)

Dragon-Kings in rock fracturing: Insights gained from rock fracture tests in the laboratory    p. 217 X. Lei Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01572-8 Abstract PDF (910.2 KB)

Stick balancing, falls and Dragon-Kings    p. 231 J.L. Cabrera and J.G. Milton Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01573-7 Abstract PDF (410.0 KB)

Are dragon-king neuronal avalanches dungeons for self-organized brain activity?    p. 243 L. de Arcangelis Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01574-6 Abstract PDF (785.2 KB)

Neuronal avalanches and coherence potentials    p. 259 D. Plenz Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01575-5 Abstract PDF (1.828 MB)

Runaway events dominate the heavy tail of citation distributions    p. 303 M. Golosovsky and S. Solomon Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01576-4 Abstract PDF (852.1 KB)

Extreme events in population dynamics with functional carrying capacity    p. 313 V.I. Yukalov, E.P. Yukalova and D. Sornette Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01577-3 Abstract PDF (1.051 MB)

On the dynamics of the world demographic transition and financial-economic crises forecasts    p. 355 A. Akaev, V. Sadovnichy and A. Korotayev Published online: 1 May 2012 DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01578-2 Abstract PDF (716.4 KB)